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July 20, 10 AM ET: SE CASC and SECAS Science Seminar – Scaling up Urban Growth Projections with FUTURES

Join us for a virtual science seminar and Third Thursday Web Forum jointly sponsored by the Southeast Conservation Adaptation Strategy and Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, highlighting projects supporting resource management actions across the Southeast.

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Scaling up Urban Growth Projections with FUTURES
Dr. Anna Petrasova, North Carolina State University
July 20, 2023 | 10AM ET
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FUTURES is the FUTure Urban-Regional Environment Simulation and was developed by the Landscape Dynamics Group led by SE CASC Faculty Affiliate, Ross Meentemeyer. It is an open source urban growth model developed to address the environmental and ecological impacts of urbanization by explicitly capturing the spatial structure of development. After successfully applying FUTURES to several regional-scale studies, the analysis has been scaled up, simulating future urbanization at 30m resolution across the Contiguous United States leveraging the NLCD time series. In this talk, Anna will introduce the model, talk about the challenges associated with scaling it up, present the results, and discuss how to keep the developed data product up-to-date. She will also present the effort to model climate-aware scenarios for the Southeast US that integrate dynamic flood event modeling and human adaptive response to forecast patterns of urban growth via population redistribution and adaptation. The work was funded by SE CASC project, Improving Scenarios of Future Patterns of Urbanization, Climate Adaptation, and Landscape Change in the Southeast.

About the speaker:
Dr. Anna Petrasova is a geospatial research software engineer working at the Center for Geospatial Analytics at North Carolina State University. She develops spatio-temporal models of urbanization and pest spread across landscapes. As a member of the OSGeo Foundation and the GRASS GIS Project Steering Committee, Anna advocates the use of open source software in research and education.

Anna Petrasova