Vegetation Dynamics Projection Data for the Southeast Are Now Available

Vegetation dynamics projection data for the Southeast are now available for download at here. The data were produced as part of the Southeast Regional Assessment Project (SERAP) and depict spatially explicit future changes in the landscape in response to climate change and urban growth through 2100. Simulations were done using state-and-transition models that incorporate vegetation succession, disturbance, and management. The impact of climate change was modeled via its effects on the fire regime under one low and one high emissions scenario. These projections have already been used to model potential future habitat for 40 bird species, which can help inform conservation planning and decision-making for those species. The bird habitat projections are also available for download at the link above. The vegetation dynamics projections will also provide information about potential future landscape changes to guide regional conservation and land management.
Please contact Jennifer Costanza if you have any questions about the projections.