Journal Articles and Reports

This page holds a collection of SE CASC funded and supported publications. For additional publication information, you can view the Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center’s Google Scholar Profile.

SE CASC Publications Database

Title	Authors	Year	Publication	Keywords	Funding Source
Simulation of Water Availability in the Southeastern United States for Historical and Potential Future Climate and Land-Cover Conditions	LaFontaine, JH, RM Hart, LE Hay, WH Farmer, AR Bock, RJ Viger, SL Markstrom, R Steven Regan, JM Driscoll	2020	USGS Scientific Investigations Report	Hydrologic Simulations, Streamflow, Water Availability	See Project Page
A Bayesian Dirichlet process community occupancy model to estimate community structure and species similarity	Sollmann, R, MJ Eaton, WA Link, P Mulondo, S Ayebare, S Prinsloo, AJ Plumptre, DS Johnson	2020	Ecological Applications	bird point‐counts, clustering, community occupancy model
Changes in Ecosystem Nitrogen and Carbon Allocation with Black Mangrove (Avicennia germinans) Encroachment into Spartina alterniflora Salt Marsh	Macy, A, MJ Osland, JA Cherry, J Cebrian	2020	Springer Link	mangrove forests, mangrove encroachment, salt marsh	See Project Page
Developing the hydrological dependency structure between streamgage and reservoir networks	Mukhopadhyay, S, A Sankarasubramanian, C Awasthi	2020	Scientific Data	hydrologic extremes, network connectivity, water reservoir	Global Change Fellows Program
Host Overwintering Phenology and Climate Change Influence the Establishment of Tetrastichus planipennisi Yang (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae), a Larval Parasitoid Introduced for Biocontrol of the Emerald Ash Borer	Gould, JR, ML Warden, BH Slager, TC Murphy	2020	Journal of Economic Entomology	biological control, emerald ash borer, overwintering	See Project Page
Visually Communicating Future Climate in a Web Environment	Davis, C, H Aldridge, R Boyles, KS McNeal, L Maudlin, R Atkins	2020	Weather, Climate, and Society	Climate change, Communications/decision making, Education	Global Change Fellows Program
Is there a dry season in the Southeast US?	Terando, A, JK Hiers, M Williams, SL Goodrick, JJ O’Brien	2020	Global Change Biology	dry season, cumulative rainfall anomalies, southeast	See Project Page
Review of the direct and indirect effects of warming and drought on scale insect pests of forest systems	Frank, SD	2020	Forestry: An International Journal of Forest Research	Scale insects, population dynamics, urban forests	See Project Page
High‐resolution dynamically downscaled rainfall and temperature projections for ecological life zones within Puerto Rico and for the US Virgin Islands	Bowden, JH, AJ Terando, V Misra, A Wootten, A Bhardwaj, R Boyles, W Gould, JA Collazo, TL Spero	2020	International Journal of Climatology	Regional climate modeling, Puerto Rico, USVI	See Project Page
Historic preservation priorities for climate adaptation	Seekamp, E, S Fatorić, A McCreary	2020	Ocean & Coastal Management	Decision-making, Prioritization, Cultural heritage management
Building adaptive capacity in a coastal region experiencing global change	Johnson, FA, MJ Eaton, J Mikels-Carrasco, D Case	2020	Ecology and Society	adaptive capacity, coproduction, scenario planning	See Project Page
Conservation and Restoration Priorities for Water Purification	Warnell, K	2020	Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions	ecosystem services, water purification, natural land cover	See Project Page
Preserving connectivity under climate and land-use change: No one-size-fits-all approach for focal species in similar habitats	Costanza, JK, J Watling, R Sutherland, C Belyea, B Dilkina, H Cayton, D Bucklin, SS Romañach, NM Haddad	2020	Biological Conservation	Climate refugia, Corridor, Land-use change	See Project Page
Frequency of extreme freeze events controls the distribution and structure of black mangroves (Avicennia germinans ) near their northern range limit in coastal Louisiana	Osland, MJ, RH Day, TC Michot	2020	Diversity and Distributions	Avicennia germinans, black mangrove, coastal wetland	See Project Page
Snow-mediated plasticity does not prevent camouflage mismatch	Kumar, AV, M Zimova, JR Sparks, LS Mills	2020	Oecologia	adaptive rescue, phenotypic plasticity, behavioral plasticity	Global Change Fellows Program
Natural and Working Lands in North Carolina – Data and Methods Guide	Warnell, K	2020	Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions	spatial datasets, carbon sequestration, reforestation	See Project Page
Using Information From Global Climate Models to Inform Policymaking—The Role of the U.S. Geological Survey	Terando, A, D Reidmiller, SW Hostetler, JS Littell, TD Beard Jr., SR Weiskopf, J Belnap, GS Plumlee	2020	U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report	risk management, global climate models, adaptive management
Climate change projected to reduce prescribed burning opportunities in the south-eastern United States	Kupfer, JA, AJ Terando, P Gao, C Teske, JK Hiers	2020	International Journal of Wildland Fire	coastal plain, piedmont, managed fire regimes	See Project Page
Using Random Forest Algorithm to Model Cold Stunning Events in Sea Turtles in North Carolina	Niemuth, JN, CC Ransom, SA Finn, MH Godfrey, SAC Nelson, MK Stoskopf	2020	Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management	green sea turtle, Kemp’s ridley sea turtle, loggerhead sea turtle	Global Change Fellows Program
Do empirical observations support commonly-held climate change range shift hypotheses? A systematic review protocol	Rubenstein, MA, SR Weiskopf, SL Carter, MJ Eaton, C Johnson, AJ Lynch, BW Miller, TL Morelli, MA Rodriguez, A Terando, LM Thompson	2020	Environmental Evidence	species redistribution, distribution shift
Forecasting water demand across a rapidly urbanizing region	Sanchez, GM, A Terando, JW Smith, AM García, CR Wagner, RK Meentemeyer	2020	Science of The Total Environment	integrated modeling, urban water demand	Global Change Fellows Program
A Social–Ecological Odyssey in Fisheries and Wildlife Management	Carlson, AK, WW Taylor, MR Cronin, MJ Eaton, LE Eckert, MA Kaemingk, AJ Reid, A Trudeau	2020	Fisheries	fisheries management, conservation
Expert-informed habitat suitability analysis for at-risk species assessment and conservation planning	Crawford, BA, JC Maerz, CT Moore	2020	Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management	longleaf pine, habitat suitability models	See Project Page
FiCli, the Fish and Climate Change Database, informs climate adaptation and management for freshwater fishes	Krabbenhoft, TJ, BJE Myers, JP Wong, C Chu, RW Tingley III, JA Falke, TJ Kwak, CP Paukert, AJ Lynch	2020	Scientific Data	freshwater fish, adaptation planning	Global Change Fellows Program
Using remote cameras to measure seasonal molts	Zimova, M, LS Barnard, BM Davis, AV Kumar, DJR Lafferty, LS Mills	2020	Ecosphere	color molting mammals, molt classification, phenology	Global Change Fellows Program
Testing ecosystem accounting in the United States: A case study for the Southeast	Warnell, KJD, M Russell, C Rhodes, KJ Bagstad, LP Olander, DJ Nowak, R Poudel, PD Glynn, JL Hass, S Hirabayashi, JC Ingram, J Matuszak, KLL Oleson, SM Posner, F Villa	2020	Ecosystem Services	Experimental ecosystem accounting, System of environmental-economic accounts	See Project Page
Can Cities Activate Sleeper Species and Predict Future Forest Pests? A Case Study of Scale Insects	Frank, SD, MG Just	2020	Insects	global change, latent invasive species, urban	See Project Page, See Project Page
Spatial conservation planning under uncertainty using modern portfolio theory and Nash bargaining solution	Sierra-Altamiranda, A, H Charkhgard, M Eaton, J Martin, S Yurek, BJ Udell	2020	Ecological Modelling	Spatial conservation planning, Modern portfolio theory, Optimization	See Project Page
Estimating population persistence for at-risk species using citizen science data	Crawford, BA, MJ Olds, JC Maerz, CT Moore	2020	Biological Conservation	Bayesian inference, Conservation planning, Endangered species listing decisions	See Project Page
Local sea level rise information sheets for Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida	Chivoiu, B, MJ Osland, RC Collini, S Martin, JM Tirpak, B Wilson	2020	USGS	federally managed lands, sea level rise	See Project Page
The role of multiple stressors in a dwarf red mangrove (Rhizophora mangle) dieback	Rossi, RE, SK Archer, C Giri, CA Layman	2020	Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science	drought, herbivory, hurricane	Global Change Fellows Program
Risk of bird predation and defoliating insect abundance are greater in urban forest fragments than street trees	Long, LC, SD Frank	2020	Urban Ecosystems	forest fragments, urban birds, defoliators	See Project Page
Thermal Tolerance of Gloomy Scale (Hemiptera: Diaspididae) in the Eastern United States	Just, MG, SD Frank	2020	Environmental Entomology	Acer rubrum, cold tolerance, range limits	See Project Page
Website Usability Differences between Males and Females: An Eye-Tracking Evaluation of a Climate Decision Support System	Maudlin, LC, KS McNeal, HD Aldridge, C Davis, R Boyles, RM Atkins	2020	Weather, Climate, and Society	Decision making, communications, eye-tracking technology	Global Change Fellows Program
Hydrologic modeling for flow-ecology science in the Southeastern United States and Puerto Rico	Caldwell, PV, JG Kennen, EF Hain, SAC Nelson, G Sun, SG McNulty	2020	USDA	Ecological flows, fish species richness, flow alteration	See Project Page, Global Change Fellows Program
Effects of native and exotic congeners on diversity of invertebrate natural enemies, available spider biomass, and pest control services in residential landscapes	Parsons, SE, LM Kerner, SD Frank	2020	Biodiversity and Conservation	congeners, diversity	Global Change Fellows Program
Reaching Underserved Populations through a Fisheries Education Program	Clark, K, D Pender, MN Peterson, K Stevenson, D Lawson, R Szczytko	2019	Fisheries	fisheries education, environmental literacy	Global Change Fellows Program
Agricultural Best Management Practice Sensitivity to Changing Air Temperature and Precipitation	Schmidt, ML, S Sarkar, JB Butcher, TE Johnson, SH Julius	2019	American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers	Agricultural management, Best management practices, Conservation tillage	See Project Page
Local climate determines vulnerability to camouflage mismatch in snowshoe hares	Zimova, M, APK Sirén, JJ Nowak, AM Bryan, JS Ivan, TL Morelli, SL Suhrer, J Whittington, LS Mills	2019	Global Ecology and Biogeography	adaptation, latitudinal gradient, phenological mismatch	Global Change Fellows Program
Natural and anthropogenic-induced changes in a tidal inlet: Morphological evolution of Oregon Inlet	Velasquez-Montoya, L, MF Overton, EJ Sciaudone	2020	Geomorphology	Nearshore processes, Coastal morphodynamics, Numerical modeling, Dredging	Global Change Fellows Program
Urbanization drives unique latitudinal patterns of insect herbivory and tree condition	Just, MG, LC Long, AG Dale, SD Frank	2019	Oikos	urban tree health, herbivore abundance	Global Change Fellows Program, See Project Page
Climatic Controls on the Distribution of Foundation Plant Species in Coastal Wetlands of the Conterminous United States: Knowledge Gaps and Emerging Research Needs	Osland, MJ, JB Grace, GR Guntenspergen, KM Thorne, JA Carr, LC Feher	2019	Estuaries and Coasts	foundation species, salt marsh, mangrove forest	See Project Page
Drought in the U.S. Caribbean: Impacts to freshwater ecosystems	Myers, B	2019	USGS	drought, freshwater ecosystems	Global Change Fellows Program
Temperature thresholds for black mangrove (Avicennia germinans) freeze damage, mortality, and recovery in North America: refining tipping points for range expansion in a warming climate	Osland, M.J., RH Day, CT Hall, LC Feher, AR Armitage, J Cebrian, KH Dunton, AR Hughes, DA Kaplan, AK Langston, A Macy, CA Weaver, GH Anderson, K Cummins, IC Feller, CM Snyder	2019	British Ecological Society	plant-climate interactions, tipping point, range expansion	See Project Page
Integrating Econometric Models of Land Use Change with Models of Ecosystem Services and Landscape Simulations to Guide Coastal Management and Planning for Flood Control	Villegas, L	2019	Environment for Development	land use change, econometric model, urbanization	Global Change Fellows Program
The individual and combined effects of snowmelt timing and frost exposure on the reproductive success of montane forbs	Pardee, GL, IO Jensen, DW Inouye, RE Irwin	2019	Journal of Ecology	frost, phenology, snowmelt timing	Global Change Fellows Program
Perspective: Developing Flow Policies to Balance the Water Needs of Humans and Wetlands Requires a Landscape Scale Approach Inclusive of Future Scenarios and Multiple Timescales	Murry, B, J Bowden, B Branof, M García-Bermúdez, BA Middleton, JR Ortiz-Zayas, C Restrepo, A Terando	2019	Wetlands	Environmental flows, Inter-basin water transfer, Time scales
Spatial conservation planning under uncertainty: adapting to climate change risks using modern portfolio theory	Eaton, MJ, S Yurek, Z Haider, J Martin, FA Johnson, BJ Udell, H Charkhgard, C Kwon	2019	Ecological Applications	Modern Portfolio Theory, landscape change	See Project Page
Butterfly abundance declines over 20 years of systematic monitoring in Ohio, USA	Wepprich, T, JR Adrion, L Ries, J Wiedmann, NM Haddad	2019	PLOS One	systematic insect monitoring, citizen science	Global Change Fellows Program
Optimizing historic preservation under climate change: Decision support for cultural resource adaptation planning in national parks	Xiao, X, E Seekamp, M Post van der Burg, M Eaton, S Fatorić, A McCreary	2019	Land Use Policy	Historic preservation, Optimization model	See Project Page
Optimizing Historical Preservation Under Climate Change—An Overview of the Optimal Preservation Model and Pilot Testing at Cape Lookout National Seashore	Seekamp, E, M Post van der Burg, S Fatorić, M Eaton, X Xiao, A McCreary	2019	USGS Open-File Report	Optimal Preservation Model, Protecting cultural resources	See Project Page
Forecasting and control of emerging infectious forest disease through participatory modelling	Gaydos, DA, A Petrasova , RC Cobb, RK Meentemeyer	2019	Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B	infectious forest disease, participatory modelling	Global Change Fellows Program
Children can foster climate change concern among their parents	Lawson, DF, KT Stevenson, N Peterson, SJ Carrier, RL Strnad, E Seekamp	2019	Nature Climate Change	intergenerational learning, climate change concern	Global Change Fellows Program
Implementation of an occupancy-based monitoring protocol for a widespread and cryptic species, the New England cottontail (Sylvilagus transitionalis)	Shea, CP, MJ Eaton, DI MacKenzie	2019	Wildlife Research	species distribution models, Sylvilagus transitionalis
Influences on coastal tourism demand and substitution behaviors from climate change impacts and hazard recovery responses	Seekamp, E, M Jurjonas, K Bitsura-Meszaros	2019	Journal of Sustainable Tourism	coastal impacts, coastal tourism	Global Change Fellows Program
Urban forest fragments buffer trees from warming and pests	Long, LC, V D'Amico, SD Frank	2019	Science of the Total Environment	forest fragments, urban heat island effect	Global Change Fellows Program, See Project Page
Designing a Protected Area to Safeguard Imperiled Species from Urbanization	Romañach, SS, B Stith, FA Johnson	2018	Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management	endandered, land acquisition, optimization	See Project Page
Coastal wetland adaptation to sea level rise: Quantifying potential for landward migration and coastal squeeze	Borchert, SM, MJ Osland, NM Enwright, KT Griffith	2018	Journal of Applied Ecology	coastal wetlands, wetland migration, mangroves	See Project Page
Exploring Differences Among Student Populations During Climate Graph Reading Tasks: An Eye Tracking Study	Atkins, RM, KS McNeal	2018	Journal of Astronomy and Earth Sciences Education	Geocognition, Eye-Tracking	Global Change Fellows Program
US Energy-Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Absence of Federal Climate Policy	Eshraghi, H, RQ Anderson, JF DeCarolis	2018	Environmental Science and Technology	greenhouse gas emissions, model analysis	Global Change Fellows Program
Predicting development preferences for fishing sites among diverse anglers	Valdez, RX, MD Drake, CR Burke, MN Peterson, C Serenari, A Howell	2018	Urban Ecosystems	landscape design, anglers	Global Change Fellows Program
Evaluating climate change behaviors and concern in the family context	Lawson, DF, KT Stevenson, MN Peterson, SJ Carrier, E Seekamp, R Strnad	2019	Environmental Education Research	Environmental behaviors, family context	Global Change Fellows Program
Evaluating natural resource planning for longleaf pine ecosystems in the Southeast United States	Foster M, MN Peterson, F Cubbage, G McMahon	2019	Forest Policy and Economics	longleaf pine; plan evaluation	Global Change Fellows Program
Contemporary climatic analogs for 540 North American urban areas in the late 21st century	Fitzpatrick, MA, RR Dunn	2019	Nature Communications	climate analog mapping; climate change	See Project Page, See Project Page, See Project Page
Partitioning global change: Assessing the relative importance of changes in climate and land cover for changes in avian distribution	Clement, MJ, JD Nichols, JA Collazo, AJ Terando, JE Hines, SG Williams	2019	Ecology and Evolution	land use; birds	See Project Page
Landscape Connectivity Planning for Adaptation to Future Climate and Land-Use Change	Costanza, JK, AJ Terando	2019	Current Landscape Ecology Reports	land use; climate change
Marsh bird occupancy along the shoreline‐to‐forest gradient as marshes migrate from rising sea level	Taillie, PJ, CE Moorman	2019	Ecosphere	coastal wetland; marsh migration	Global Change Fellows Program
Variation in photosynthesis and stomatal conductance among red maple (Acer rubrum) urban planted cultivars and wildtype trees in the southeastern United States	Lahr, EC, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2018	PLOS One	urban ecology; photosynthesis	See Project Page
Urban plants and climate drive unique arthropod interactions with unpredictable consequences	Dale, AG, SD Frank	2018	Current Opinion in Insect Science	urban ecology; arthropod	See Project Page
Multivariate bias corrections of mechanistic water quality model predictions	Libera, DA, A Sankarasubramanian	2018	Journal of Hydrology	Mechanistic Modeling; Multivariate Bias-Correction; Water Quality Forecasting	Global Change Fellows Program
A non-parametric bootstrapping framework embedded in a toolkit for assessing water quality model performance.	Libera, DA, A Sankarasubramanian, A Sharma, BJ Reich	2018	Environmental Modelling & Software	Mechanistic Modeling; Water Quality Forecasting	Global Change Fellows Program
The Relative Influence of Storm and Landscape Characteristics on Shallow Groundwater Responses in Forested Headwater Catchments	Singh NK, RE Emanuel, F Nippgen, BL McGlynn, CF Miniat	2018	Water Resources Research	forested catchment; runoff generation	Global Change Fellows Program
Assessment of hydrologic vulnerability to urbanization and climate change in a rapidly changing watershed in the Southeast U.S.	Suttles, KM, NK Singh, JM Vose, KL Martin, RE Emanuel, JW Coulston, SM Saia, MT Crump	2018	Science of The Total Environment	hydrologic vulnerability; urbanization	Global Change Fellows Program
Intergenerational learning: Are children key in spurring climate action?	Lawson, DF, KT Stevenson, MN Peterson, SJ Carrier, R Strnad, E Seekamp	2018	Global Environmental Change	children; reflexive modernization	Global Change Fellows Program
Sea level rise impacts on rural coastal social-ecological systems and the implications for decision making	Bhattachan, A, MD Jurjonas, AC Moody, PR Morris, GM Sanchez, LS Smart, PJ Taillie, RE Emanuel, EL Seekamp	2018	Environmental Science and Policy	climate adaptation; risk perceptions	Global Change Fellows Program
Mangrove forests in a rapidly changing world: Global change impacts and conservation opportunities along the Gulf of Mexico coast	Osland, MJ, LC Feher, J López-Portillo, RH Day, DO Suman, JM Guzmán Menéndez, VH Rivera-Monroy	2018	Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science	coastal wetland; Gulf of Mexico	See Project Page
Toward a Resilience-Based Conservation Strategy for Wetlands in Puerto Rico: Meeting Challenges Posed by Environmental Change	Collazo, JA, AJ Terando, AC Engman, PF Fackler, TJ Kwak	2018	Wetlands	adaptation strategies; decision models	See Project Page
Evaluating Climate Change Planning for Longleaf Pine Ecosystems in the Southeast United States	Clark, KE, E Chin, MN Peterson, K Lackstrom, K Dow, M Foster, F Cubbage	2018	Journal of the Southeastern Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies	longleaf pine; policy	See Project Page
Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model	Bhardwaj, AV, A Misra, A Mishra, A Wootten, R Boyles, JH Bowden, AJ Terando	2018	Climatic Change	downscaling; global climate models; Caribbean	See Project Page
Getting ahead of the curve: cities as surrogates for global change	Lahr EC, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2018	Proceedings of the Royal Society B	global change; city	See Project Page, See Project Page
Impervious surface thresholds for urban tree site selection	Just, ME, SD Frank, AG Dale	2018	Urban Forestry and Urban Greening	urban heat island; red maple	See Project Page
Interacting and non-linear avian responses to mixed-severity wildfire and time since fire	Taillie, PJ, RD Burnett, LJ Roberts, BR Campos, MN Peterson, and CE Moorman	2018	Ecosphere	fire; avian biodiversity	Global Change Fellows Program
High interspecific variation in nutrient excretion within a guild of closely related caddisfly species	Balik, JA, BW Taylor, SE Washko, SA Wissinger	2018	Ecosphere	macroinvertebrates; ecological redundancy	Global Change Fellows Program
Ecology of sleeping: the microbial and arthropod associates of chimpanzee beds	Thoemmes, MS, FA Stewart, RA Hernandez-Aguilar, MA Bertone, DA Baltzegar, RJ Borski, N Cohen, KP Coyle, AK Piel, RR Dunn	2018	Royal Society Open Science	microbiome; built environment	Global Change Fellows Program
Function and underlying mechanisms of seasonal colour moulting in mammals and birds: what keeps them changing in a warming world?	Zimova, M, K Hacklander, JM Good, J Melo-Ferreira, PC Alves, LS Mills	2018	Biological Reviews	coat colour moult; phenotypic mismatch	Global Change Fellows Program
How communication with teachers, family and friends contributes to predicting climate change behaviour among adolescents	Valdez, RX, MN Peterson, KT Stevenson	2018	Environmental Conservation	climate change education; climate communication	Global Change Fellows Program
Dynamic minimum set problem for reserve design: Heuristic solutions for large problems	Bonneau, M, R Sabbadin, FA Johnson, B Stith	2018	PLoS ONE	dynamic reserve design; heuristic strategies	See Project Page, See Project Page
Role of Pacific SSTs in improving reconstructed streamflow over the coterminous US	Mukhopadhyay, S, JM Patskoski, A Sankarasubramanian	2018	Scientific Reports	hydrology; paleoclimate	Global Change Fellows Program
Water availability influences arthropod water demand, hydration and community composition on urban trees	McCluney, KE, T George, SD Frank	2018	Journal of Urban Ecology	animal water balance; food web dynamics	See Project Page, See Project Page
Spatial patterns of development drive water use	Sanchez, GM, JW Smith, A Terando, G Sun, RK Meentemeyer	2018	Water Resources Research	spatial pattern of development; water and land planning	Global Change Fellows Program
Water availability drives urban tree growth responses to herbivory and warming	Meineke, EM, SD Frank	2018	Journal of Applied Ecology	herbivory; urban heat island; water relations	See Project Page, See Project Page, See Project Page
Microspatial ecotone dynamics at a shifting range limit: plant–soil variation across salt marsh–mangrove interfaces	Yando, ES, MJ Osland, MW Hester	2018	Oecologia	coastal wetland; expansion dynamics	See Project Page
Winter color polymorphisms identify global hot spots for evolutionary rescue from climate change	Mills, LS, EV Bragina, AV Kumar, M Zimova, DJR Lafferty, J Feltner, BM Davis, K Hackländer, PC Alves, JM Good, J Melo-Ferreira, A Dietz, AV Abramov, N Lopatina, K Fay	2018	Science	coat-changing animals; evolutionary rescue	Global Change Fellows Program
Variable responses of non-native and native ants to coarse woody debris removal following forest bioenergy harvests	Grodsky, SM, JW Campbell, SR Fritts, TB Wigley, CE Moorman	2018	Forest Ecology and Management	woody biomass harvesting; coarse woody debris; ants	Global Change Fellows Program
Observation and modeling of the evolution of an ephemeral storm-induced inlet: Pea Island Breach, North Carolina, USA	Velasquez Montoya, L, EJ Sciaudone, H Mitasova, MF Overton	2018	Continental Shelf Research	coastal morphodynamics; barrier island breaching	Global Change Fellows Program
Beach Management Practices and Occupation Dynamics: An Agent-Based Modeling Study for the Coastal Town of Nags Head, NC, USA	Karanci A, L Velásquez-Montoya, JF Paniagua-Arroyave, PN Adams, MF Overton	2018	Beach Management Tools - Concepts, Methodologies and Case Studies, Coastal Research Library, vol 24. Springer, Cham	coupled human-physical systems; beach management	Global Change Fellows Program
Direct and indirect effects of episodic frost on plant growth and reproduction in subalpine wildflowers	Pardee GL, DW Inouye, RE Irwin	2017	Global Change Biology	phenology; plant pollinator	Global Change Fellows Program
Wild bee abundance declines with urban warming, regardless of floral density	Hamblin, AL, E Youngsteadt, SD Frank	2018	Urban Ecosystems	urban warming; wild bees	See Project Page
Homogenizing an urban habitat mosaic: arthropod diversity declines in New York City parks after Super Storm Sandy	Savage, AM, E Youngsteadt, AF Ernst, SA Powers, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2017	Ecological Applications	disturbance adapted; extreme weather; diversity	See Project Page
Rural coastal community resilience: Assessing a framework in eastern North Carolina	Jurjonas, M, E Seekamp	2017	Ocean & Coastal Management	adaptive capacity; sea level rise
Variation in arthropod hydration across US cities with distinct climate	McCluney, KE, J. Burdine, SD Frank	2017	Journal of Urban Ecology	impervious surface; homogenization	See Project Page
Invertebrate community response to coarse woody debris removal for bioenergy production from intensively managed forests	Grodsky, SM, CE Moorman, SR Fritts, JW Campbell, CE Sorenson, MA Bertone, SB Castleberry, TB Wigley	2017	Ecological Applications	bioenergy; coarse woody debris; invertebrates	Global Change Fellows Program
Hydrology and microtopography control carbon dynamics in wetlands: Implications in partitioning ecosystem respiration in a coastal plain forested wetland	Miao, G, A Noormets, J-C Domec, M Fuentes, CC Tretting, G Sun, S McNulty, JS King	2017	Agricultural and Forest Meteorology	forested wetland; hydrology; eddy covariance flux	Global Change Fellows Program
Using regional scale flow-ecology modeling to identify catchments where fish assemblages are most vulnerable to changes in water availability	Hain, EF, JG Kennen, PV Caldwell, SAC Nelson, G Sun, SG McNulty	2017	Freshwater Biology	fish species richness; flow-ecology models	See Project Page
Securing the Future of Cultural Heritage by Identifying Barriers to and Strategizing Solutions for Preservation under Changing Climate Conditions	Fatorić, S, E Seekamp	2017	Sustainability	needs assessment; climate change adaptation	See Project Page
A measurement framework to increase transparency in historic preservation decision-making under changing climate conditions	Fatorić, S, E Seekamp	2017	Journal of Cultural Heritage	cultural resource management; prioritization; significance	See Project Page
Linear and nonlinear effects of temperature and precipitation on ecosystem properties in tidal saline wetlands	Feher, LC, MJ Osland, KT Griffith, JB Grace, RJ Howard, CL Stagg, NM Enwright, KW Krauss, CA Gabler, RH Day, K Rogers	2017	Ecosphere	climatic drivers; mangrove forest; salt marsh	See Project PageG43
Ad hoc instrumentation methods in ecological studies produce highly biased temperature measurements	Terando AJ, E Youngsteadt, EK Meineke, SG Prado	2017	Ecology and Evolution	air temperature; sensor bias
Invasibility of a fire-maintained savanna–wetland gradient by non-native, woody plant species	Just MG, MG Hohmann, WA Hoffmann	2017	Forest Ecology and Management	woody invasives; prescribed fire; longleaf pine	Global Change Fellows Program
Evaluating a decision analytic approach to climate change adaptation of cultural resources along the Atlantic Coast of the United States	Fatorić, S, E Seekamp	2017	Land Use Policy	cultural heritage, structured decision making, climate adaptation	See Project Page
Grand challenges for integrated USGS science—A workshop report	Jenni, KE, MB Goldhaber, JL Betancourt, JS Baron, RS Bristol, M Cantrill, PE Exter, MJ Focazio, JW Haines, LE Hay, L Hsu, VF Labson, KD Lafferty, KA Ludwig, PC Milly, TL Morelli, SA Morman, NT Nassar, TR Newman, AC Ostroff, JS Read, SC Reed, CD Shapiro, RA Smith, WE Sanford, TL Sohl, EG Stets, AJ Terando, DE Tillitt, MA Tischler, PL Toccalino, DJ Wald, MP Waldrop, A Wein, JF Weltzin, C Zimmerman	2017	USGS Open-File Report	grand challenge
Foundations of translational ecology	Enquist, CAF, ST Jackson, GM Garfin, FW Davis, LR Gerber, JA Littell, JL Tank, AJ Terando, TU Wall, B Halpern, JK Hiers, TLyn Morelli, E McNie, NL Stephenson, MA Williamson, CA Woodhouse, L Yung, MW Brunso, KR Hall, LM Hallett, DM Lawson, MA Moritz, K Nydick, A Pairis, AJ Ray, C Regan, HD Safford, MW Schwartz, MR Shaw	2017	Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment	knowledge co-production
Balancing research and service to decision makers	Littell, JS, AJ Terando, TL Morelli	2017	Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment	stakeholder; communication
Developing a translational ecology workforce	Schwartz, MW, JK Hiers, FW Davis, GM Garfin, ST Jackson, AJ Terando, CA Woodhouse, T Morelli, MA Williamson, MW Brunson	2017	Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment	interdisciplinary skills; decision making
Physiological thermal limits predict differential responses of bees to urban heat-island effects	Hamblin, AL, E Youngsteadt, MM López-Uribe, SD Frank	2017	Biology Letters	pollinators; urban warming	See Project Page
Assessing Historical Significance and Use Potential of Buildings within Historic Districts: An Overview of a Measurement Framework Developed for Climate Adaptation Planning	Fatorić, S, E Seekamp	2017	NC State Extension Publication AG-832	cultural resource management; measurement framework	See Project Page
Climatic controls on the global distribution, abundance, and species richness of mangrove forests	Osland, MJ, LC Feher, KT Griffith, KC Cavanaugh, NM Enwright, RH Day, CL Stagg, KW Krauss, RJ Howard, JB Grace, K Rogers	2017	Ecological Monographs	climatic thresholds; mangrove forests	See Project Page
Framing climate change communication to prompt individual and collective action among adolescents from agricultural communities	Stevenson, KT, TL King, KR Selm, MN Peterson, MC Monroe	2017	Environmental Education Research	climate education; agriculture
Warming and drought combine to increase pest insect fitness on urban trees	Dale, AG, SD Frank	2017	PLoS ONE	urban heat island; gloomy scale; drought stress	See Project Page
Are cultural heritage and resources threatened by climate change? A systematic literature review	Fatorić, S, E Seekamp	2017	Climatic Change	cultural heritage; adaptation; state of knowledge	See Project Page
Variation in arthropod hydration across US cities with distinct climate	McCluney, KE, JD Burdine, SD Frank	2017	Journal of Urban Ecology	urbanization; hydration; arthropods	See Project Page
Fidelity of the Sr/Ca proxy in recording ocean temperature in the western Atlantic coral Siderastrea siderea	Kuffner, IB, KE Roberts, JA Flannery, JM Morrison, JN Richey	2017	Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems	coral skeletons; Sr/Ca; temperature proxy	See Project Page
Changes in spider community composition are associated with urban temperature, not herbivore abundance	Meineke, EK, AJ Holmquiest, GM Wimp, SD Frank	2017	Journal of Urban Ecology	urban heat island; spiders	See Project Page
Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century	Gabler, CA, MJ Osland, JB Grace, CL Stagg, DH Day, SB Hartley, NM Enwright, AS From, ML McCoy, JL McLeod	2017	Nature Climate Change	coastal wetlands; macroclimate	See Project Page
Achieving full connectivity of sites in the multiperiod reserve network design problem	Jafari, N, BL Nuse, CT Moore, B Dilkina, J Hepinstall-Cymerman	2017	Computer and Operations Research	conservation reserve design; integer programming model	See Project Page
Mangrove expansion and contraction at a poleward range limit: climate extremes and land-ocean temperature gradients	Osland, MJ, RH Day, CT Hall, MD Brumfield, JL Dugas, WR Jones	2017	Ecology	mangrove; range limits	See Project Page
The physiology of mangrove trees with changing climate	Lovelock, CE, KW Krauss, MJ Osland, R Reef, MC Ball	2017	Tropical Tree Physiology: Adaptations and Responses in a Changing Environment	mangrove distribution; trait plasticity	See Project Page
Occupancy and Index of Abundance of Eleutherodactylus wightmanae and E. brittoni along Elevational Gradients in West-Central Puerto Rico	Monroe, KD, JA Collazo, K Pacifici, BJ Reich, AR Puente-Rolón, AJ Terando	2017	Caribbean Naturalist	amphibians; habitat covariates
Occupancy and Abundance of Eleutherodactylus Frogs in Coffee Plantations in Puerto Rico	Monroe, KD, JA Collazo, K Pacifici, BJ Reich, AR Puente-Rolón, AJ Terando	2017	Herpetologica	acoustic surveys; habitat selection
Characterizing Sources of Uncertainty from Global Climate Models and Downscaling Techniques	Wootten A, A Terando, B.J Reich, RP Boyles, F Semazzi	2017	Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology	climate models; ensembles	See Project Page
Wood decay and the persistence of resprouting species in pyrophilic ecosystems	Just, MG, Schafer, JL, Hohmann, MG, Hoffmann, WA	2016	Trees	forest	Global Change Fellows Program
Chapter 16. Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation for Projections of Extremes in Monthly Area Burned Under Climate Change	AJ Terando, B Reich, K Pacifici, J Costanza, A McKerrow, JA Collazo	2016	Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment: Modeling and Decision Support, Wiley Press	wildfire; uncertainty quantification	See Project Page
Chapter 9: Application of Decision Science to Resilience Management in Jamaica Bay	Eaton, M, AK Fuller, FA Johnson, MP Hare, RC Stedman	2016	Prospects for resilience: Insights from New York City's Jamaica Bay, Island Press	decision science; resilience
Insular ecosystems of the southeastern United States—A regional synthesis to support biodiversity conservation in a changing climate	Cartwright, JM, WJ Wolfe	2016	USGS Professional Paper	insular ecosystems; biodiversity; synthesis	See Project Page
Assessing climate-sensitive ecosystems in the Southeastern United States	Costanza, J, S Beck, M Pyne, A Terando, MJ Rubino, R White, J Collazo	2016	USGS Open-File Report	climate-sensitive ecosystems; vulnerability assessment	See Project Page
The influence of personal beliefs, friends, and family in building climate change concern among adolescents	Stevenson, KT, MN Peterson, HD Bondell	2016	Environmental Education Research	climate literacy
How emotion trumps logic in climate change risk perception: Exploring the affective heuristic among wildlife science students	Stevenson, KT, MA Lashley, MC Chitwood, MN Peterson, CE Moorman	2016	Human Dimensions of Wildlife	human dimensions; risk perception
Motivating Action through Fostering Climate Change Hope and Concern and Avoiding Despair among Adolescents	Stevenson, KT, MN Peterson	2016	Sustainability	climate literacy; climate action
Responses of arthropod populations to warming depend on latitude: evidence from urban heat islands	Youngsteadt, E, AF Ernst, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2016	Global Change Biology	arthropods; urban heat island; thermal tolerance	See Project Page
Climate Change Implications for Tropical Islands: Interpolating and Interpreting Statistically Downscaled GCM Projections for Management and Planning	Khalyani, AH, WA Gould, E Harmsen, A Terando, M Quinones, JA Collazo	2016	Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology	downscaled climate models; Caribbean
Breeding, early-successional bird response to forest harvests for bioenergy	Grodsky, SM, CE Moorman, SR Fritts, SB Castleberry, TB Wigley	2016	PLoS ONE	bioenergy; birds	Global Change Fellows Program
Winter bird use of harvest residues in clearcuts and the implications of forest bioenergy harvest in the southeastern United States	Grodsky, SM, CE Moorman, SR Fritts, DW Hazel, JA Homyack, SB Castleberry, TB Wigley	2016	Forest Ecology and Management	birds; forest bioenergy	Global Change Fellows Program
Barriers to and opportunities for landward migration of coastal wetlands with sea-level rise	Enwright, NM, KT Griffith, MJ Osland	2016	Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment	sea level rise; ecosystem migration	See Project Page
Urban warming reduces aboveground carbon storage	Meineke E, E Youngsteadt, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2016	Proceedings of the Royal Society B	urbanization; forests	See Project Page, See Project Page
The Department of the Interior Southeast Climate Science Center synthesis report 2011–15—Projects, products, and science priorities	Varela Minder, E, AR Lascurain, G McMahon	2016	U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report	SE CSC
Use of structured decision-making to explicitly incorporate environmental process understanding in management of coastal restoration projects: Case study on barrier islands of the northern Gulf of Mexico	Dalyander, PS, M Meyers, B Mattsson, G Steyer, E Godsey, J McDonald, M Byrnes, M Ford	2016	Journal of Environmental Management	structured decision-making; ecosystem restoration; barrier islands	See Project Page
How Climate Change Beliefs among U.S. Teachers Do and Do Not Translate to Students	Stevenson, KT, MN Peterson, A Bradshaw	2016	PLoS ONE	climate science education
The Sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to Cumulus 2 Parameterization and Interior Grid Nudging	Wootten, A, JH Bowden, R Boyles, A Terando	2016	Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology	climate projections; downscaling	See Project Page
Variability in isotopic composition of base flow in two headwater streams of the southern Appalachians	Singh, NK, RE Emanuel, BL McGlynn	2016	Water Resources Research	hydrology; topography	Global Change Fellows Program
An evaluation of 20th century climate for the Southeastern United States as simulated by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models	Rupp, D	2016	USGS Open-File Report	modeling	See Project Page
Meta-analysis of Natural Resource Conservation Plan Evaluations	Foster, M, MN Peterson, F Cubbage, G McMahon	2016	Journal of the Southeastern Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies	conservation; natural resources; land use	See Project Page
Hydro-Climatological Influences on Long-Term Dissolved Organic Carbon in a Mountain Stream of the Southeastern United States	Singh, NK , WM Reyes, ES Bernhardt, R Bhattacharya, JL Meyer, JD Knoepp, RE Emanuel	2016	Journal of Environmental Quality	hydrology	Global Change Fellows Program
Forecasting the Effects of Heat and Pests on Urban Trees: Impervious Surface Thresholds and the 'Pace-to-Plant' Technique	Dale, AG, E Youngsteadt, SD Frank	2016	Arboriculture & Urban Forestry	pests; urbanization	Global Change Fellows Program
High Fitness Costs of Climate Change Induced Camouflage Mismatch	Zimova M, LS Mills, JJ Nowak	2016	Ecology Letters	phenology; snow	Global Change Fellows Program
Salt marsh-mangrove ecotones: using structural gradients to investigate the effects of woody plant encroachment on plant-soil interactions and ecosystem carbon pools	Yando, ES, MJ Osland, JM Willis, RH Day, KW Krauss, MW Hester	2016	Journal of Ecology	mangrove	See Project Page
Where fire stops: vegetation structure and microclimate influence fire spread along an ecotonal gradient	Just, MG, MG Hohmann, WA Hoffmann	2016	Plant Ecology	fire	Global Change Fellows Program
The contribution of human foods to honey bee diets in a mid-sized metropolis	Penick, CA, CA Crofton, RH Appler, SD Frank, RR Dunn, DR Tarpy	2016	Journal of Urban Ecology	bees; urbanization	See Project Page
Aerosolization of a Human Norovirus Surrogate, Bacteriophage MS2, during Simulated Vomiting	Tung-Thompson, G, DA Libera, KL Koch, FL de los Reyes III, LA Jaykus	2015	PLOS One	aerosols; human norovirus	Global Change Fellows Program
Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models	Van Beusekom, AE, WA Gould, AJ Terando, JA Collazo	2015	International Journal of Climatology	future water supply; statistical downscaling
Incorporating future change into current conservation planning: Evaluating tidal saline wetland migration along the U.S. Gulf of Mexico coast under alternative sea-level rise and urbanization scenarios	Enwright, NM, KT Griffith, MJ Osland	2015	USGS	tidal saline wetlands; migration	See Project Page
Direct evidence of swimming behavior demonstrates active dispersal in the sea turtle ‘lost years’	Putman NF, KL Mansfield	2015	Current Biology	sea turtles; animal dispersal	Global Change Fellows Program
Sea-level rise modeling handbook: Resource guide for coastal land managers	Doyle, TW, B Chivoiu, NM Enwright	2015	USGS	sea-level rise	See Project Page
Life stage influences the resistance and resilience of black mangrove forests to winter climate extremes	Osland, MJ, RH Day, AS From, ML McLemore, JL McLeod, J Kelleway	2015	Ecosphere	mangroves	See Project Page
A primer on the history of food web ecology: fundamental contributions of fourteen researchers	Layman, CA, ST Giery, S Buhler, R Rossi, T Penland, MN Henson, AK Bogdanoff, MV Cove, AD Irizarry, CM Schalk, SK Archer	2015	Food Webs	food webs	Global Change Fellows Program
US protected lands mismatch biodiversity priorities	Jenkins, CN, KS Van Houtan, SL Pimm, JO Sexton	2015	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences	biodiversity
Epizootiology of cranial abscess disease in white-tailed deer of Georgia	Cohen, BS, EH Belser, CH Killmaster, JW Bowers, BJ Irwin, MJ Yabsley, KV Miller	2015	Journal of Wildlife Diseases	white-tailed deer; disease
Training Conservation Practitioners to be Better Decision Makers	Johnson, FA, MJ Eaton, JH Williams, GH Jensen, J Madsen	2015	Sustainability	decision support; conservation
Intensified mollusk exploitation on Nevis (West Indies) reveals ~six centuries of sustainable exploitation	Poteate, AS, Fitzpatrick, SM, Clark, M, Stone, JH	2015	Archaeological and Anthropological Sciences	mollusk; exploitation	Global Change Fellows Program
Effects of processing time on blood and plasma samples from loggerhead sea turtles (Caretta caretta) for1H-NMR-based metabolomics	Niemuth, JN, CA Harms, MK Stoskopf	2015	Herpetological Conservation & Biology	sea turtles	Global Change Fellows Program
Do growing degree days predict phenology across butterfly species?	Cayton, HL, NM Haddad, K Gross, SE Diamond, L Ries	2015	Ecology	butterflies; phenology; temperature	See Project Page
Global change and conservation triage on National Wildlife Refuges	Johnson, FA, MJ Eaton, G McMahon, R Nilius, MR Bryant, DJ Case, J Martin, NJ Wood, L Taylor	2015	Ecology and Society	adaptation planning	See Project Page
Evolution of the indoor biome	Martin, LJ, SM Hird, SO Kolokotronis, RF Medina, G Mhuireach, CS Moreau, J Munshi-South, LM Nichols, C Palmer, L Popova, C Schal, M Taubel, M Trautwein, JA Ugalde, RI Adams, D Hughes, A Bateman, SW Kembel, G Levy, C McClain, JF Meadow, HM Bik, K Kinney, J Hawks, RR Dunn	2015	TREE	biome	See Project Page
Regional analysis of wind turbine-caused bat mortality	Drake, D, CS Jennelle, JN Lui, SM Grodsky, S Schumaker, M Sponsler	2015	Acta Chiropterologica	bats; energy	Global Change Fellows Program
Interpopulation variation in a condition-dependent signal: predation regime affects signal intensity and reliability	Giery, ST, CA Layman	2015	The American Naturalist	predation	Global Change Fellows Program
Linking state-and-transition simulation and timber supply models for forest biomass production scenarios	Costanza, JK, RC Abt, AJ McKerrow, JA Collazo	2015	AIMS Environmental Science	energy; forests
Stable isotopes reveal links between human food inputs and urban ant diets	Penick, CA, AM Savage, RR Dunn	2015	Proceedings of the Royal Society B	ants	See Project Page
How global biodiversity hotspots may go unrecognized: lessons from the North American Coastal Plain	Noss, RF, WJ Platt, BA Sorrie, AS Weakley, DB Means, J Costanza. RK Peet	2015	Diversity and Distributions	biodiversity
Beyond just sea-level rise: considering macroclimatic drivers within coastal wetland vulnerability assessments to climate change	Osland, MJ, N Enwright, RH Day, CA Gabler, CL Stagg, JB Grace	2015	Global Change Biology	wetlands	See Project Page
Temperature alone does not explain phenological variation of diverse temperate plants under experimental warming	Marchin, RM, CF Salk, WA Hoffmann, RR Dunn	2015	Global Change Biology	phenology	See Project Page
Anthropogenic ecosystem fragmentation drives shared and unique patterns of sexual signal divergence among three species of Bahamian mosquitofish	Giery, ST, CA Layman, RB Langerhans	2015	Evolutionary Applications	urbanization; evolution	Global Change Fellows Program
Climate, land cover, and urbanization effects on hydrology in the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin: Potential impacts on watershed planning	LaFontaine, JH, LE Hay, RJ Viger, RS Regan, SL Markstrom	2015	Journal of the American Water Resources Associatian	urbanization; hydrology	See Project Page
Effects of climate and land cover on hydrology in the southeastern US: Potential impacts on watershed planning	LaFontaine, J, LE Hay, RJ Viger, RS Regan, SL Markstrom	2015	Journal of the American Water Resources Association	hydrology	See Project Page
A Comparison of Hydrologic Models for Ecological Flows and Water Availability	Caldwell, PV, JG Kennen, G Sun, JE Kiang, JB Butcher, MC Eddy, LE Hay, JH LaFontaine, EF Hain, SAC Nelson, SG McNulty	2015	Ecohydrology	hydrology	See Project Page
Decomposition of sources of errors in seasonal streamflow forecasting over the U.S. Sunbelt	Mazrooei, A, T Sinha, A Sankarasubramanian, S Kumar, CC Peters-Lidard	2015	Journal of Geophysical Research	streamflow	Global Change Fellows Program
Habitat Restoration as a Recovery Tool for a Disturbance-Dependent Butterfly, The Endangered St. Francis Satyr	Cayton, H, NM Haddad, B Ball, E Henry, E Aschehoug	2015	Butterfly Conservation in North America	restoration; butterflies	Global Change Fellows Program
A century of ocean warming on Florida Keys coral reefs: Historic in situ observations	Kuffner, IB, BH Lidz, JH Hudson, JS Anderson	2015	Estuaries and Coasts	coral reefs
Does hydrological fragmentation affect coastal bird communities? A study from Abaco Island, The Bahamas	Chacin, DH, ST Giery, LA Yeager, CA Layman, RB Langerhans	2015	Wetland Ecology and Management	urbanization; birds	Global Change Fellows Program
Point-count methods to monitor butterfly populations when traditional methods fail: a case study with Miami blue butterfly	Henry, E, N Haddad, J Wilson, P Hughes, B Gardner	2015	Journal of Insect Conservation	butterflies	Global Change Fellows Program
Regional and large-scale influences on seasonal to interdecadal variability in Caribbean surface air temperature in CMIP5 simulations	Ryu, JH, K Hayhoe	2015	Climate Dynamics	modeling; temperature	See Project Page
CMIP5 projected changes in spring and summer drought and wet conditions over North America	Swain, S, K Hayhoe	2015	Climate Dynamics	projections; drought	See Project Page
Urbanization Increases Pathogen Pressure on Feral and Managed Honey Bees	Youngsteadt, E, R Holden Appler, MM Lopez-Uribe, DR Tarpy, SD Frank	2015	PLoS ONE	urbanization; bees	See Project Page
Modeling climate change, urbanization, and fire effects on Pinus palustris ecosystems of the southeastern U.S.	Costanza, JK, AJ Terando, AJ McKerrow, JA Collazo	2015	Journal of Environmental Management	modeling; fire; urbanization	See Project Page
Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth ecosystems	Haddad, NM, LA Brudvig, J Clobert, et al.	2015	Science Advances	fragmentation
The Ecology of Religious Beliefs	Botero, CA, B Gardner, KR Kirby, J Bulbulia, MC Gavin, RD Gray	2014	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences	beliefs	Global Change Fellows Program
Microbial communities respond to experimental warming, but site matters	Cregger, M, N Sanders, R Dunn, A Classen	2014	PeerJ	biodiversity; microorganisms
Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison of herbivore response to urban and global warming	Youngsteadt, E, AG Dale, AJ Terando, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2014	Global Change Biology	urbanization; scale insect	See Project Page; Global Change Fellows
Shrew response to variable woody debris retention: Implications for sustainable forest bioenergy	Fritts, SR, CE Moorman, SM Grodsky, DW Hazel, JA Homyack, CB Farrell, SB Castleberry	2014	Forest Ecology and Management	trees; shrew; woody debris; bioenergy	Global Change Fellows Program
Biomass Harvesting Guidelines affect downed woody debris retention	Fritts, SR, CE Moorman, DW Hazel, BD Jackson	2014	Biomass and Bioenergy	trees; biomass; woody debris	Global Change Fellows Program
Evolutionary tipping points in the capacity to adapt to environmental change	Botero, CA, FJ Weissing, J Wright, DR Rubenstein	2014	PNAS	evolution; adaptation	Global Change Fellows Program
Size Dependency of Post-Disturbance Recovery of Multi-Stemmed Resprouting Trees	Schafer, JL, MG Just	2014	PLoS ONE	trees, pines, wildfire, disturbance	Global Change Fellows Program
The Effects of Urban Warming on Herbivore Abundance and Street Tree Condition	Dale, AG, SD Frank	2014	PLoS ONE	urbanization; trees; insects	See Project Page; Global Change Fellows Program
The Southern Megalopolis: Using the past to predict the future of urban sprawl in the Southeast U.S.	Terando, A, J Costanza, C Belyea, RR Dunn, A McKerrow, JA Collazo	2014	PLoS ONE	urbanization	See Project Page
Aboveground Allometric Models for Freeze-Affected Black Mangroves (Avicennia germinans): Equations for a Climate Sensitive Mangrove-Marsh Ecotone	Osland, M, R Day, J Larriviere, A From	2014	PLoS ONE	mangroves; saltmarshes	See Project Page
Using historical and experimental data to reveal warming effects on ant assemblages	Resasco, J, S Pelini, K Stuble, N Sanders, R Dunn, S Diamond, A Ellison, N Gotelli, D Levey	2014	PLoS ONE	experimental warming; ants
Toward enhanced understanding and projections of climate extremes using physics-guided data mining techniques	Ganguly, A, E Kodra, A Banerjee, S Boriah, S Chatterjee, A Choudhary, D Das, J Faghmous, P Ganguli, S Ghosh, K Hayhoe, C Hays, W Hendrix, Q Fu, J Kawale, D Kumar, V Kumar, S Liess, R Mawalagedara, V Mithal, R Oglesby, K Salvi, P Snyder, K Steinhaeuser, D Wang, D Wuebbles	2014	Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics	data mining	See Project Page
Defining and Evaluating the Umbrella Species Concept for Conserving and Restoring Landscape Connectivity	Breckheimer, I, NM Haddad, WF Morris, AM Trainor, WR Fields, RT Jobe, BR Hudgens, A Moody, JR Walters	2014	Conservation Biology	connectivity; threatened species
Evaluation of a regional monitoring program's statistical power to detect temporal trends in forest health indicators	Perles, SJ, T Wagner, BJ Irwin, DR Manning, KK Callahan, MR Marshall	2014	Environmental Management	forest health; monitoring
Small Reservoir Distribution, Rate of Construction, and Uses in the Upper and Middle Chattahoochee Basins of the Georgia Piedmont, USA, 1950-2010	Ignatius, AR, JW Jones	2014	ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information	land use	See Project Page
Integrating Land Cover Modeling and Adaptive Management to Conserve Endangered Species and Reduce Catastrophic Fire Risk	Breininger, D, B Duncan, M Eaton, F Johnson, J Nichols	2014	Land	endangered species, fire
Local adaptation of a marine invertebrate with a high dispersal potential: evidence from a reciprocal transplant experiment of the eastern oyster Crassostrea virginica	Burford, MO, J Scarpa, BJ Cook, MP Hare	2014	Marine Environment	oyster
Global biogeographic regions in a human-dominated world: the case of human diseases	Just, MG, JF Norton, AL Traud, T Antonelli, AS Poteate, GA Backus, A Snyder-Beattie, RW Sanders, RR Dunn	2014	Ecosphere	pathogens; health	Global Change Fellows Program
Changes in ant community composition caused by 20 years of experimental warming vs. 13 years of natural climate shift	Menke, S, J Harte, R Dunn	2014	Ecosphere	experimental warming; ants	See Project Page
Interactions in a warmer world: effects of experimental warming, conspecific density, and herbivory on seedling dynamics	Burt, M, R Dunn, L Nichols, N Sanders	2014	Ecosphere	experimental warming	See Project Page
Landscape corridors can increase invasion by an exotic species and reduce diversity of native species	Resasco, J, NM Haddad, JL Orrock, D Shoemaker, LA Brudvig, EI Damschen, JJ Tewksbury, DJ Levey	2014	Ecological Society of America	urbanization; corridors; invasive species
Nephrolithiasis in free-ranging North American river otter (LontraåÊcanadensis) in North Carolina, USA	Niemuth, JN, CW Sanders, CB Mooney, C Olfenbuttel, CS DePerno, MK Stoskopf	2014	Journal of Zoo and Wildlife Medicine	river otter	Global Change Fellows Program
Urban Growth Modeling for the SAMBI Designing Sustainable Landscapes Project	Belyea, CM, AJ Terando	2014	NCSU	urbanization; modeling	See Project Page
Maximizing the social and ecological value of Cape Romain National Wildlife Refuge, South Carolina as the effects of global change processes increase	Nilius, R, S Dawsey, M Eaton, J Martin, S Romanach, S Baird, M Bryant, D Case, F Johnson, J McMahon, N Pau, E Pienaar, M Ratnaswamy, S Seibert, P Wingrove, N Wood	2014	National Conservation Training Center Workshop Report	global change	See Project Page
Hepatic metabolomic investigation of the North American black bear (Ursus americanus) using 1H-NMR spectroscopy	Niemuth, J, M Stoskopf	2014	Wildlife Biology in Practice	black bears	Global Change Fellows Program
Early pest development and loss of biological control are associated with urban warming	Meineke, EK, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2014	Biology Letters	urbanization; pests; parasites	See Project Page
Stream classification of the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River System for aquatic habitat response to climate change	Elliott, CM, RB Jacobson, MC Freeman	2014	USGS	streams	See Project Page
Downscaled Climate Projections for the Southeast United States: Evaluation and Use for Ecological Applications	Wootten, A, K Smith, R Boyles, A Terando, L Stefanova, V Misra, T Smith, D Blodgett, F Semazzi	2014	U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report	downscaling	See Project Page
Testing metapopulation concepts: effects of patch characteristics and neighborhood occupancy on the dynamics of an endangered lagomorph	Eaton, MJ, PT Hughes, JE Hines, JD Nichols	2014	Oikos	modeling; endangered species
Environmental harshness is positively correlated with intraspecific divergence in mammals and birds	Botero, CA, R Dor, CM McCain, RJ Safran	2014	Molecular Ecology	Biodiversity; birds	Global Change Fellows Program
Malignant hypertension and retinopathy in a western lowland gorilla (Gorilla gorilla gorilla)	Niemuth, JN, RS De Voe, SH Jennings, MR Loomis, BV Troan	2014	Journal of Medical Primatology	modeling; endangered species; gorilla	Global Change Fellows Program
Habitat and species identity, not diversity, predict the extent of refuse consumption by urban arthropods	Youngsteadt, E, RC Henderson, AM Savage, AF Ernst, RR Dunn, SD Frank	2014	Global Change Biology	urbanization	See Project Page
Ecosystem fragmentation drives increased diet variation in an endemic live-bearing fish of The Bahamas	Araujo, MS, RB Langerhans, ST Giery, CA Layman	2014	Ecology and Evolution	connectivity; fish	Global Change Fellows Program
Predicting future coexistence in a North American ant community	Bewick, S, K Stuble, JP Lessard, R Dunn, F Adler, N Sanders	2014	Ecology and Evolution	modeling; ants
High diversity in an urban habitat: are some animal assemblages resilient to long-term anthropogenic change?	Guenard, B, A Cardinal-De Casas, RR Dunn	2014	Urban Ecosystems	urbanization; invasive species; disturbance	See Project Page
Bad neighbors: urban habitats increase cankerworm damage to non-host understory plants	Frank, SD	2014	Urban Ecosystems	herbivory; urbanization	See Project Page
Overcoming skepticism with education: interacting influences of worldview and climate change knowledge on perceived climate change risk among adolescents	Stevenson, KT, MN Peterson, HD Bondell, SE Moore, SJ Carrier	2014	Climate Change	communication; worldview; adolescents
Differing nutritional constraints of consumers across ecosystems	Lemoine, NP, ST Giery, DE Burkepile	2014	Oecologia	insects; nutrition	Global Change Fellows Program
CMIP5 Climate Model Analyses: Climate Extremes in the United States	Wuebbles, D, G Meehl, K Hayhoe, TR Karl, K Kunkel, B Santer, M Wehner, B Colle, EM Fischer, R Fu, A Goodman, E Janssen, V Kharin, H Lee, W Li, LN Long, SC Olsen, Z Pan, A Seth, J Sheffield, L Sun	2014	American Meteorological Society	modeling	See Project Page
An evaluation of relations between flow regime components, stream characteristics, and species traits and meta-demographic rate of warmwater stream fishes: Implications for aquatic resource management	Peterson, JT, CP Shea	2014	River Research and Applications	streams, fish	See Project Page
Urban warming trumps natural enemy regulation of herbivorous pests	Dale, AG, SD Frank	2014	Ecological Society of America	urbanization; insects	See Project Page
Unexpected phenological responses of butterflies to the interaction of urbanization and geographic temperature	Diamond, SE, H Cayton, T Wepprich, CN Jenkins, RR Dunn, NM Haddad, L Ries	2014	Ecology	modeling; endangered species	Global Change Fellows Program
Freshwater availability and coastal wetland foundation species: ecological transitions along a rainfall gradient	Osland, M, N Enwright, C La Fosse Stagg	2014	Ecology	water; modeling	See Project Page
Snowshoe hares display limited phenotypic plasticity to mismatch in seasonal camouflage	Zimova, M, LS Mills, PM Lukacs, MS Mitchell	2014	Proceedings of the Royal Society	phenotypic mismatch	Global Change Fellows Program
Evolved for extinction: the cost and conservation implications of specialization in hammerhead sharks	Gallagher, AJ, N Hammerschlag, DS Shiffman, ST Giery	2014	BioScience	fish; vulnerability	Global Change Fellows Program
Habitat use of breeding green turtles Chelonia mydas tagged in Dry Tortugas National Park: Making use of local and regional MPAs	Hart, KM, DG Zawada, I Fujisaki, BH Lidz	2013	Biological Conservation	endangered species; sea turtles	See Project Page
Commonly Rare and Rarely Common: Comparing Population Abundance of Invasive and Native Aquatic Species	Hansen, GJA, MJ Vander Zanden, MJ Blum, MK Clayton, EF Hain, et al.	2013	PLoS ONE	biodiversity	Global Change Fellows Program
Movements and Habitat-Use of Loggerhead Sea Turtles in the Northern Gulf of Mexico during the Reproductive Period	Hart, KM, MM Lamont, AR Sartain, I Fujisaki, BS Stephens	2013	PLoS ONE	endangered species; sea turtles	See Project Page
Urban Warming Drives Insect Pest Abundance on Street Trees	Meineke, EK, RR Dunn, JO Sexton, SD Frank	2013	PLoS ONE	urbanization; insects	See Project Page
Increased Toxicity of Karenia brevis during Phosphate Limited Growth: Ecological and Evolutionary Implications	Hardison, DR, WG Sunda, D Shea, RW Litaker	2013	PLoS ONE	health; algae
Ecological Impacts of Climate Change Collection	Bond-Lamberty, B, EK Meineke, RR Dunn, JO Sexton, SD Frank	2013	PLoS ONE	urbanization
Clinal variation in colony breeding structure and level of inbreeding in the subterranean termites Reticulitermes flavipes and R. grassei	Vargo, EL, L Leniaud, LE Swoboda, SE Diamond, MD Weiser, DM Miller, AG Bagnres	2013	Molecular ecology	insects; termites	See Project Page
Ventricular Habronemiasis in Aviary Passerines	Niemuth, JN, JV Allgood, JR Flowers, RS De Voe, BV Troan	2013	Case Reports in Veterinary Medicine	birds	Global Change Fellows Program
Species loss on spatial patterns and composition of zoonotic parasites	Harris, NC, RR Dunn	2013	Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences	parasites	See Project Page
Application of the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) in the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin in the Southeastern USA	LaFontaine, JH, LE Hay, RJ. Viger, SL Markstrom, RS Regan, CM Elliott, JW Jones	2013	USGS	precipitation	See Project Page
Methods for monitoring corals and crustose coralline algae to quantify in-situ calcification rates	Morrison, JM, IB Kuffner, TD Hickey	2013	USGS Open-File Report	biodiversity; coral	See Project Page
Complexity of nearshore strontium-to-calcium ratio variability in a core sample of the massive coralÌÄåâÌâåÊSiderastrea sidereaÌÄåâÌâåÊobtained in Coral Bay, St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands	Reich, CD, IB Kuffner, TD Hickey, JM Morrison, JA Flannery	2013	USGS Open-File Report	coral	See Project Page
Winter climate change and coastal wetland foundation species: salt marshes vs. mangrove forests in the southeastern United States	Osland, MJ, N Enwright, RH Day, TW Doyle	2013	Global Change Biology	forests; modeling	See Project Page
Testing the efficacy and reliability of common zooarchaeological sampling strategies: a case study from the Caribbean	Poteate, AS, Fitzpatrick, SM	2013	Journal of Archaeological Science	sampling strategies; Caribbean	Global Change Fellows Program
The effect of water table fluctuation on soil respiration in a lower coastal plain forested wetland in the southeastern U.S.	Miao, G, A Noormets, JC Domec, CC Trettin, SG McNulty, G Sun, JS King	2013	J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci.	water; forests	Global Change Fellows Program
The Practitioner's dilemma - How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections?	Barsugli, JJ, G Guentchev, RM Horton, A Wood, LO Mearns, XZ Liang, JA Winkler, K Dixon, K Hayhoe, RB Rood, L Goddard, A Ray, L Buja, C Ammann	2013	Eos	downscaling	See Project Page
Evaluating the fidelity of downscaled climate data on simulated wheat and maize production in the southeastern US	Cammarano, D, L Stefanova, BV Ortiz, M Ramirez-Rodrigues, S Asseng, V Misra, G Wilkerson, B Basso, JW Jones, KJ Boote	2013	Regional Environmental Change	agriculture; modeling	See Project Page
Understanding the sources of Caribbean precipitation biases in CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations	Ryu, JH, K Hayhoe	2013	Climate Dynamics	modeling; precipitation	See Project Page
Calcification rates of the massive coral Siderastrea sidereal and crustose coralline algae along the Florida Keys (USA) outer-reef tract	Kuffner, I, TD Hickey, JM Morrison	2013	Coral Reefs	coral	See Project Page
Using physiology to predict the responses of ants to climatic warming	Diamond, SE, CA Penick, SL Pelini, AM Ellison, NJ Gotelli, NJ Sanders, RR Dunn	2013	Integrative and comparative biology	insects; ants	See Project Page
Consideration of reference points for the management of renewable resources under an adaptive management paradigm	Irwin, BJ, MJ Conroy	2013	Environmental Conservation	decision support	See Project Page
Upward ant distribution shift corresponds with minimum, not maximum, temperature tolerance	Warren, RJ, L Chick	2013	Global change biology	insects; ants	See Project Page
Simulating the effects of the southern pine beetle on regional dynamics 60 years into the future	Costanza, JK, J Hulcr, FH Koch, T Earnhardt, AJ McKerrow, RR Dunn, JA Collazo	2012	Ecological Modelling	insects; modeling	See Project Page
Fluctuating Environments, Sexual Selection and the Evolution of Flexible Mate Choice in Birds	Botero, CA, DR Rubenstein	2012	PLoS ONE	birds	Global Change Fellows Program
Common garden experiments reveal uncommon responses across temperatures, locations, and species of ants	Pelini, SL, SE Diamond, H MacLean, AM Ellison, NJ Gotelli, NJ Sanders, RR Dunn	2012	Ecology and Evolution	insects	See Project Page
A physiological trait-based approach to predicting the responses of species to experimental climatic warming	Diamond, SE, LM Nichols, N McCoy, C Hirsch, SL Pelini, NJ Sanders, AM Ellison, NJ Gotelli, RR Dunn	2012	Ecology	insetcs; forests; biodiversity	See Project Page
Use of occupancy models to evaluate expert and knowledge-based species-habitat relationships	Iglesia, MN, JA Collazo, AJ McKerrow	2012	Avian Conservation and Ecology	birds; modeling	See Project Page
Representation of regional urban development conditions using a watershed-based gradient study design	Terziotti, S, G McMahon, AH Bell	2012	U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2012ÌÄåâÌâåÐ5070	urbanization
Linking urbanization to the Biological Condition Gradient (BCG) for stream ecosystems in the Northeastern United States using a Bayesian network approach	Kashuba, RO, G McMahon, TF Cuffney, S Qian, K Reckhow, J Gerritsen, S Davies	2012	U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2012-5030	urbanization
P2SÌâåÑCoupled Simulation with the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) and the Stream Temperature Network (SNTemp) Models	Markstrom, SL	2012	USGS	modeling; temperature	See Project Page
U.S. Department of the Interior Southeast Climate Science Center Science and Operational Plan	Jones, SA, MS Dalton, comps.	2012	U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report
Description and testing of the Geo Data Portal: Data integration framework and Web processing services for environmental science collaboration	Blodgett, DL, NL Booth, TC Kunicki, JL Walker, RJ Viger	2012	U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report	decision support	See Project Page
Strategies for managing the effects of urban development on streams	Cappiella, K, WP Stack, L Fraley-McNeal, C Lane, G McMahon	2012	U.S. Geological Survey Circular	urbanization
Effects of urban development on stream ecosystems in nine metropolitan study areas across the United States	Coles, JF, G McMahon, AH Bell, LR Brown, FA Fitzpatrick, BC Scudder Eikenberry, MD Woodside, TF Cuffney, WL Bryant, K Cappiella, L Fraley-McNeal, WP Stack	2012	U.S. Geological Survey Circular	urbanization
Who likes it hot? A global analysis of the climatic, ecological, and evolutionary determinants of warming tolerance in ants	Diamond, SE, DM Sorger, J Hulcr, SL Pelini, I Del Toro, C Hirsch, E Oberg, RR Dunn	2012	Global Change Biology	insects	See Project Page
Probabilistic projections of agro-climate indices in North America	Terando, A, K Keller, WE Easterling	2012	Journal of Geophysical Research Ð Atmospheres	agriculture; modeling	See Project Page
Linking river management to species conservation using dynamic landscape-scale models	Freeman, MC, GR Buell, LE Hay, WB Hughes, RB Jacobson, JW Jones, SA Jones, JH LaFontaine, KR Odom, JT Peterson, JW Riley, JS Schindler, C Shea, JD Weaver	2012	River Research and Applications	fish; modeling
An asynchronous regional regression model for statistical downscaling of daily climate variables	Stoner, AMK, K Hayhoe, X Yang, DJ Wuebbles	2012	International Journal of Climatology	modeling	See Project Page
Inferring likelihoods and climate system characteristics from climate models and multiple tracers	Bhat, KS, M Haran, R Olson, K Keller	2012	Environmetrics	decision support; modeling	See Project Page
Every Species is an Insect (or Nearly So): On insects, climate change, extinction and the biological unknown	Dunn, RR, MC Fitzpatrick	2012	Invited chapter in Hannah L (ed) Extinction Risk from Climate Change. Island Press	insects	See Project Page
Modeling habitat dynamics accounting for possible misclassification	Veran, S, KJ Kleiner, R Choquet, JA Collazo, JD Nichols	2012	Landscape Ecology	modeling	See Project Page
Mycangia of ambrosia beetles host communities of bacteria	Hulcr, J, NR Rountree, SE Diamond, LL Stelinski, N Fierer, RR Dunn	2012	Microbial Ecology	insects	See Project Page
Observed and Modeled 20th century spatial and temporal patterns of agro-climate indices in North America	Terando, A, WE Easterling, K Keller, DR Easterling	2012	Journal of Climate	agriculture; modeling
Misidentification of freshwater mussel species (Bivalvia: Unionidae): contributing factors, management implications, and potential solutions	Shea, CP, JT Peterson, JM Wisniewski, NA Johnson	2011	Journal of the North American Benthological Society	decision support
Science Goals of the U.S. Department of the Interior Southeast Climate Science Center	Dalton, MS	2011	U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet
U.S. Department of the Interior Climate Science Centers	Jones, SA	2011	U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet
A Bayesian network to predict coastal vulnerability to sea level rise	Gutierrez, BT, NG Plant, ER Thieler	2011	Journal of Geophysical Research	modeling	See Project Page
Climate Projections Using Bayesian Model Averaging and Space-Time Dependence	Bhat, KS, MI Haran, A Terando, K Keller	2011	Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics	modeling	See Project Page
Computer model calibration with multivariate spatial output	Bhat, KS, M Haran, M Goes	2010	Frontiers of Statistical Decision Making and Bayesian Analysis	modeling; decision support
Effects of including surface depressions in the application of the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System in the Upper Flint River Basin, Georgia	Viger, RJ, LE Hay, JW Jones, GR Buell	2010	U.S. Geological Survey Scientific-Investigations Report	modeling
Southeast Regional Assessment Project for the National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center	Dalton, MS, SA Jones, comps.	2010	U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report
What is the skill of ocean tracers in reducing uncertainties about ocean diapycnal mixing and projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?	Goes, M, NM Urban, R Tonkonojenkov, M Haran, A Schmittner, K Keller	2010	Journal of Geophysical Resources	projections; uncertainty	See Project Page
Hydrologic effects of urbanization and climate change on the Flint River basin, Georgia	Viger, RJ, LE Hay, SL Markstrom, JW Jones, GR Buell	2010	Earth Interactions	urbanization; modeling